Thursday, 28 July 2011

Cache Logistics Trust - Upside from Acquisitions (DBSVickers)

BUY S$0.975

At a Glance
• In line with expectation and on track to meet our full year forecasts
• Acquisitions and asset enhancement activities to drive earnings growth.
• Maintain Buy, S$1.11

DPU of 2.1ct is inline with expectation. Cache Logistics Trust (“Cache”) reported S$15.5m net property income (“NPI”), 6.1% above IPO forecasts. 2Q sequential performance was relatively robust with gross revenue and NPI rising 9.2% and 7.2% to S$16.2m and S$15.5m respectively, lifting distributable income to about S$13.2m (+7.1% qoq). The robust performance was largely due to an enlarged portfolio and the group’s continuous asset enhancement efforts. As a result, DPU rose by about 6.8% qoq to 2.09cts. The first 2 quarters’ DPU forms 50% of FY11 forecast.

New acquisitions yet to kick in, more to come. Recent acquisition of Jinshan Chemical warehouse in Shanghai and Air market Logistic Centre in Singapore, as well as the 70,000 sf asset enhancement works at Cold Hub should underpin earnings growth in the coming quarters. Gearing remained healthy at 29.1% and the group is looking to grow portfolio further via acquisitions in Singapore and China. All-in Interest rate has also lowered from 4.37% to 3.92% due to the more attractive rates secured for its recent acquisitions.

Recommendation
BUY Call, TP maintained at S$1.11. Cache remains attractive for its FY11-12F yield 8.2-8.7%, which is 230-270 bps above the peers’ average 5.9% - 6.2%. Re-rating catalysts will be the execution of more acquisitions that the manager is currently reviewing.

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