Thursday, 4 August 2011

CREATIVE (Lim&Tan)

S$2.85 - CREAF.SI

• Creative continues to destroy shareholder value with 4Q to June’11 loss of US$19.7mln, widening from year ago’s loss of US$11.7mln and quarter ago’s loss of US$13mln. Full year loss of US$47mln widened from last year’s US$39mln.

• As a result of the loss and higher working capital requirements, operating cash flow was negative US$63mln, widening from last year’s negative US$28mln and after capex and dividends, cash holdings fell from US$214mln to US$163mln.

• Looking ahead, despite the lowered operating expenses from last year’s restructuring efforts, management said that they will continue to lose money due to weak demand for their products.

• Full year dividend was halved to 5 cents a share.

• The stock continues to make new 52 week lows currently at $2.85, having broken below the Mar’09 low of $3. Its all time low of $2.54 was hit in late 2008, shortly after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

• With no signs of a turnaround, we expect the stock to remain in its well entrenched downtrend channel established since mid-2009.

• Maintain SELL.

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