Published August 28, 2008
Populist moves in KL Budget likely to widen deficit

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(KUALA LUMPUR) The Malaysian government is likely to announce several populist measures in its 2009 Budget tomorrow as it tries to tighten its weakening grip on power in the face of economic and political challenges.

Mr Abdullah: The Budget may include some relief for the poor to shield them from high prices
The Budget will be presented just a day after Anwar Ibrahim, the de facto opposition leader, will be sworn into the parliament following his convincing victory in a by-election.
Anwar, who has vowed to overthrow the government of Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, has promised to reinvigorate Malaysia's economy, which has lost some of its attractiveness as an investment destination to faster-growing regional rivals.
'We expect the government to pull all stops with an expansionary, populist Budget, designed to yield maximum political mileage during this critical period for the government,' Citigroup said in a report.
'The twin overriding objective would be to placate public unhappiness over soaring inflation, as well as keep the BN (ruling coalition) component parties happy and minimise the possibility of further defections to the opposition coalition,' it said.
Prime Minister Abdullah has already said that the Budget may include some relief for the poor to shield them from high prices, and analysts said the steps could include cash handouts, incentives for small and medium entrepreneurs, and tax cuts.
Annual inflation surged to 8.5 per cent in July, the highest since December 1981 and well above expectations, and the central bank has said it is likely to stay high this year and early next year.
The government has already brought forward fuel price cuts after it slashed subsidies earlier this year in a move that was lauded by economists but shattered its popularity.
Mr Abdullah is facing renewed calls to step down from some in the United Malays National Organisation, the main party in the coalition, after Mr Anwar's better-than-expected election result.
The government is also expected to announce a significant increase in development spending, which analysts say could slightly widen the fiscal deficit.
'The fiscal deficit was brought down from 5.3 per cent of GDP in 2002 to 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2007, but it is projected to widen to 3.5-4 per cent in 2008-09, reflecting largely higher operating and development expenditure,' CIMB said in its Budget preview. -- Reuters