Tuesday, 20 January 2009

Published January 19, 2009

45,000 may be out of job during CNY in M'sia

(KUALA LUMPUR) Some 45,000 workers in the manufacturing sector may temporarily be out of job soon as most factories in the country will cease operations for the Chinese New Year celebrations.

Human Resources Minister S Subramaniam said factories in the manufacturing sector, which would shut down operations for two or three weeks, would ask workers to take leave, either paid or unpaid, depending on their respective employers. 'This (shut down) is because of a drop in demand for their products and because of that they (factories) have to temporarily terminate their workers,' he told reporters after opening the Agro Explosion 2009 Seminar & Workshop here yesterday.

He said that as at Jan 12 this year 14,000 workers from various sectors had lost their jobs because of the world economic slowdown, but that there were some 15,000 job vacancies in various sectors registered at the ministry. -- Bernama

Published January 19, 2009

MALAYSIA INSIGHT
Yet another loud wake-up call

The times they are a'changing - Umno downplays last Saturday's by-election drubbing at its own peril

By S JAYASANKARAN
KL CORRESPONDENT

DEPUTY Prime Minister Najib Razak described the ruling National Front coalition's loss in the Kuala Terengganu by-election last Saturday as a 'setback' but said that it would do nothing to change the political landscape of the country.

He also said that the opposition's victory did not mean that its strength was growing nor did it portend a disastrous outing for the Front in the next general election. Mr Najib, 55, will be prime minister in March after the current incumbent Abdullah Ahmad Badawi steps down and, for his sake, we hope he is right.

On Saturday, Abdul Wahid Endut from the opposition Parti Islam SeMalaysia (PAS) beat off Wan Farid Salleh from the United Malays National Organisation (Umno) by a majority of 2,631 votes. Mr Wahid won a seat previously won by Umno by just 620 votes in a constituency that is almost 90 per cent ethnic Malay.

There are those, in Umno, who would argue that the contest was lost simply because Umno picked the wrong candidate - a person too closely identified with Mr Abdullah and his son-in-law Khairy Jamaluddin, two people who aren't very popular right now. They will point at former premier Mahathir Mohamad who also attacked Mr Wan Farid for the same reasons - and Dr Mahathir still wields considerable influence.




Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah, a former finance minister and an elder statesman of Umno, puts it starkly: 'This was more than a referendum on the leadership,' he said in an immediate reaction to the results: 'It was a test of the relevance of Umno in its present form. If Umno is no longer relevant to the Malays, the BN (Barisan Nasional or the National Front) formula is dead. The Chinese will have no reason to support MCA and so on. The power-sharing consensual bargain on which our political system has been based since Independence is broken.'

'We are in uncharted waters with no one at the wheel,' the prince concluded.

Hyperbole? Alarmist? Actually, Tengku Razaleigh has always been reasonably consistent. Immediately after the March 8 general election last year, he warned that if Umno did not fundamentally change its ways, its culture of political patronage, all the baggage of having been in power since 1957, it would be repudiated by young voters who were sickened by the excess, the hubris.

`Mr Najib should know this better than most. He previously stressed the importance of the contest and the importance of blunting the opposition's momentum ahead of state elections in Sarawak which could be called this year.

Then, there is Umno's own elections in March, where all posts from deputy president downwards will be contested. If the party elects new leaders who aren't perceived to be clean, who are stridently chauvinistic, then the party that has governed this country for the longest time could be in trouble.

All it takes is perception. In short, Umno must not only change - it must be seen to have changed. 

Published January 19, 2009

How much did you say the CEO is making?

By CHEW XIANG

FOR many rank-and-file employees, it will be comforting - ahead of what is shaping up to be an empty bonus season - to reflect that, at least, their bosses will have it worse. That's because bosses generally have more variable pay in the form of profit-linked bonuses or share grants, which means that in bad times they take the bigger hit.

But how much are the bosses actually paid? Is it the amount the company discloses in its annual report? Is it how much they get, in cash and bonuses plus the market value of performance shares, options and other benefits? Or is it how much the company actually has to pay out?

The differences can be substantial, according to an analysis by BT. For instance, according to the Singapore Exchange (SGX) annual report, CEO Hsieh Fu Hua was paid $7.18 million in FY2008. But that year, Mr Hsieh (going by one measure) actually received $8.41 million - $1.23 million more than indicated. For FY2007, he was paid $6.38 million but may actually have got $8.56 million, or $2.18 million more.

The difference lies in how 660,000 shares he was given under the company's FY2006 performance share plan are valued.

The shares were vested over two years - half the allotment each time in July 2007 and July 2008 - and based on the company's return on equity from 2005 to 2007. Under accounting rules (principally FRS 102, which came into effect four years ago), these shares have to be expensed over the vesting period, and valued at their fair value at date of grant. For SGX in this case, that is $3.13 for those shares vesting in 2008, and $3.26 for the shares vesting in 2007 (against a market price of around $3.50 at the time of grant). But when the shares were actually given to Mr Hsieh, at the end of June in 2007 and 2008, the market price was $9.80 and $6.91 respectively.

So valuing Mr Hsieh's share payments at market price when he received them gives a higher figure than that disclosed in the annual report. And the market value is relevant because although (according to the fine print) SGX executives have to keep half the shares for a year, the other half can be sold immediately. (Mr Hsieh, to his credit, has not done so, and has even donated a substantial portion to charity.)

There's another discrepancy. Those 660,000 shares given to Mr Hsieh have to be bought from the open market. Over the two years, the average price of SGX shares was $8.11, according to Bloomberg data. This means the company may have paid up to $5.35 million in cash to buy those shares from the market - against the total sum of $2.11 million, as reflected in the annual reports. While the final cash outlay is likely to be less than $5.35 million (since SGX could and did time its purchases), the actual figure still should not be anything approaching the fair values used.

Having said that, the difference between cash outlay and booked expenses is charged straight to equity, so there is nothing sinister in the discrepancies. These result from the extraordinary run-up in SGX's share price since 2005, when they traded at around $1.65.

But in other cases, the fair value of the shares could differ markedly from the market price. SingTel used Monte Carlo valuation to arrive at a fair value of $1.41 and $1.44 per share for two share award schemes for top executives in May 2005. The market price then was around $2.50 - about 75 per cent higher. The difference was due to the market vesting conditions, such as total shareholder return, that the company uses to judge executive performance.

By the time the shares vested, in June 2008, SingTel was trading at over $3.70. CEO Chua Sock Koong, previously CEO (International) and group CFO, received up to $1.97 million - $937,904 of which may have been settled in cash at $3.73 a share, the market price on the date the shares were vested, and which is over 2.5 times the fair value (the share-based payment should rightly be thought of as reward for three years of performance, and split accordingly).

There are two issues here. First, should executive pay valued at market price be disclosed as well? Pay for performance means that actual pay - that is, the market value of what executives actually get when they get it - matters too. Shareholders shouldn't have to parse annual reports and regulatory filings for the information, and possibly get it wrong. Second, fair values matter too. Share grants are meant to partly replace cash bonuses and, in theory, help create better alignment between managers and shareholders. But if fair values are artificially depressed - say, if gloomier assumptions are used in the calculations - then the executive ends up with more shares and more pay than he or she should. And it's very hard to tell when this happens.

Both SGX and SingTel are what one senior accountant calls 'first in class' in terms of disclosure and corporate governance, so no worries there. But others with weaker standards might find loopholes.